Showing posts with label Al Gore. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Al Gore. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

The Obama Trap - Part 2

See Previous post for Part 1

You have to ask yourself, ‘How did a two year senator with very little experience get where he is?’ The answer is simple. Someone else supports him and is behind his campaign. There is only one person who would want a viable alternative to Hillary in the race to keep her engaged. There is only one person who knows Hillary well enough to know that the longer she is actively campaigns, the lower in the polls she will get. There is only one person knows that knows that Hillary will do anything she can to destroy her opponents.

Al Gore. That’s right, good old Al. You don’t see Al with Clinton campaigning. You don’t see Al out and about pushing for the good old days of Clinton to return. He is keeping his powder dry. Gore knows he can’t beat her one on one (She has too much dirt on him probably.) He is waiting for Hillary to unleash that attack on Obama that is so vicious and dirty that it backfires. Obama is almost bulletproof from attacks because he is a member of one of the most important voting blocks of the Democratic Party Base. But when Hillary does attack, and she will have too, Gore will sweep in defending Obama and then contrast Hillary’s actions to his own.

For the good of the party, Gore will announce he is running, with Obama (wounded from the Hillary attack machine) as is running mate, to prevent Hillary from getting in the White House This does two things. One it steals a the ABC election strategy from the republicans (Anyone But Hillary Clinton) and two, it brings a feel of an DC outsider (Gore, since his Hollywood travails has the appearance of an outsider) running for president that will attract the base, the liberal left and some independents. The Democrats will rally around eco-warrior Gore and actually back him to defeat Hillary.

This seems so obvious to me, Hillary and her people must see it too. All she has to do is resist the urge to attack Obama personally. If she sticks to issues and plugs along she may win or she may lose. If she attacks Obama personally, she is done. I think she knows what to do. I just think the Clintonistas will be not be able to control themselves. If so, the trap will be sprung, Hillary will be boxed in, and Al Gore will ride in to the rescue.

The Obama Trap – Part 1

There is something very interesting playing out on the democratic side of the 2008 race. Obama is running very early, Hillary is doing what she can to stay in front and someone who should be running isn’t. There is more to this than meets the eye I think. Let me walk you through it.

Hillary didn’t want to announce early. She wanted to keep her powder dry and her money in the bank. The sooner the race would start the worse off she would be. The longer the race the more money she would have to raise and spend. The more people get to know her, the more they dislike her for various reasons. That is why she kept her profile low in the senate and tried very hard to walk the moderate line. She would have been happy to wait till October, but someone had other plans.

Out of the blue, here comes Barak Obama. Here is a senator with 2 yrs experience, some state government experience, but still a really green politician. He is gifted and charismatic. He announces early and the anti-war liberals as well as the democrats looking for a Clinton alternative latch on. The Media goes wild for Obama and sets him up as the second coming of Bill Clinton.

This makes Hillary have to jump in early to stay the front-runner and keep her base. She didn’t want too but the longer she waited to announce, the closer Obama got. If she’s not the front-runner, she cannot hold on and win. Obama is a threat to her nomination. She has to put a stop to Obama’s rise. How does she do it? How do the Clintons’ deal with political opponents? They use personal attacks, the politics of personal destruction.

Clinton team quietly releases information about how Obama was a Muslim and schooled in a madrassa as a child (read about this here). The media debunks this claim relatively quickly. This event is a warning to Obama. Clinton’s team had fired a shot across the bow. ‘Don’t mess with us or we will destroy you politically.’ Obama moves back and takes the high ground, shrugging of the claims. This created a stalemate between the two that will eventually have to be broken. If Hillary slips in the polls more, it will force her team to really play hardball and attack Obama directly.

That is exactly what the architect of the Obama Trap is waiting for.

RR